Friday 10 August 2012

Cash out of gold!!! - Financial Times

Cash out of gold and send kids to college


Just like the non-barking dog in the Sherlock Holmes story, the gold price has become strangely insensitive to the usual stimuli.
The eurozone remains locked in an existential crisis. Growth is fading in the US and China, and policy makers appear conflicted or just plain clueless about how to respond. Meanwhile, losses and scandals at large banks are coming to light weekly.
Unsurprisingly, investors are running scared. The global flight to safety has seen capital flood into “core” sovereign bond markets, driving yields down almost to vanishing point.

Yet, despite this perfect storm of financial instability, the gold price remains becalmed. In fact, over the past year gold bullion has behaved like a “risk on” asset, rising and falling in sync with stock markets.

This makes sense. For most of human history, gold existed as an alternative to conventional finance, a “store of value” that could be relied on in times of distress and crisis. Gold bugs may hate to admit it, but those days are long gone. Gold has become just another financial asset, as vulnerable to the shifts of investor sentiment as an emerging market. It is symbolic of today’s world that one of the largest exchange traded funds is invested in gold bullion, not equities.

So why has the golden dog suddenly gone silent? One likely reason is that the price has simply become too rich.

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